Democracy Monitor

Monitoring democratic institutions through public records

← The charter

What we decided before reading a single document

A record kept in good repair. Every measurement on this site passes through choices we made first. We publish them so you can see through the lens — or around it. Every list on this page is generated from the constants the instrument runs on; when the code changes, this page changes with it.

Fourteen categories#

Eight baseline years#

BaselineWindowCycleStored id
Trump 2017–182017-01-20 → 2018-01-19year 1 of termtrump_2017
Trump 2018–192018-01-20 → 2019-01-19year 2 of termtrump_2018
Trump 2019–202019-01-20 → 2020-01-19year 3 of termtrump_2019
Trump 2020–212020-01-20 → 2021-01-19year 4 of termtrump_2020
Biden 2021–222021-01-20 → 2022-01-19year 1 of termbiden_2021
Biden 2022–232022-01-20 → 2023-01-19year 2 of termbiden_2022
Biden 2023–242023-01-20 → 2024-01-19year 3 of termbiden_2023
Biden 2024–252024-01-20 → 2025-01-19year 4 of termbiden_2024

There is no baseline before 2017.

The words on the screen, and the words in the data#

The stored names predate the charter and remain in every export; the display names describe departure from documented practice without valence.

The four readings

On the screenStored as (assessment)
clear departureclearly_concerning
possible departurepotentially_concerning
novel, within baselinenovel_not_concerning
routineroutine

The five mechanisms

On the screenStored as (erosion_type)
formal overrideformal_override
operational hollowingoperational_hollowing
noncompliance / refusalnoncompliance_refusal
routineroutine
unclearunclear

Weekly statuses

On the screenStored as (status)
Consistent with normsStable
Notable departure from normsElevated
Departure from norms (legacy)Divergent
Sustained departure from normsConfirmedConcern

Every model, by role#

Two companies' models, on purpose. Neither model's priors are inspectable by us.

RoleModelProviderExact id
Screens every document for relevance (Pass 1)GPT-4o-miniOpenAIgpt-4o-mini
Reviews each flagged document (Pass 2)Claude Sonnet 4.5Anthropicclaude-sonnet-4-5-20250929
Drafts and finalizes weekly summariesClaude Opus 4.6Anthropicclaude-opus-4-6
Critiques weekly-summary and research draftsGPT-4oOpenAIgpt-4o
Drafts and finalizes research answers (editorial mode)Claude Opus 4.6Anthropicclaude-opus-4-6
Writes research answers (standard mode)Claude Sonnet 4.6Anthropicclaude-sonnet-4-6
Expands search terms, judges salience arms, re-ranks resultsGPT-4o-miniOpenAIgpt-4o-mini

The instructions the models receive#

When any of this was wrong#

The reversals ledger records every correction, status change after repair, held publication, regeneration, and audit — with dates and evidence.